Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 149.463667 172.832123 199.789347 233.449435 274.722785 324.164025 3.886065e+02
2025-06-29 116.292235 144.868514 181.238558 231.876723 302.129095 398.628775 5.458151e+02
2025-07-06 98.375868 128.625699 169.717792 231.392329 324.913767 467.394346 7.139700e+02
2025-07-13 90.802025 123.773905 171.188587 247.334424 372.787672 584.166906 1.000581e+03
2025-07-20 85.433158 120.707531 174.017288 264.983578 426.816302 727.265574 1.402484e+03
2025-07-27 78.230690 113.628694 169.237928 268.830968 457.529272 837.968211 1.799930e+03
2025-08-03 73.020323 108.793580 167.052485 276.287222 496.316759 978.223749 2.358181e+03
2025-08-10 67.578984 102.828129 161.984563 277.308291 522.292508 1100.207472 2.960781e+03
2025-08-17 63.464840 98.527362 159.096189 281.755915 556.532692 1256.159842 3.812558e+03
2025-08-24 58.999541 93.111092 153.455840 279.609960 575.284667 1380.197006 4.684628e+03
2025-08-31 55.376204 88.774473 149.224678 279.575134 599.094529 1530.237524 5.859853e+03
2025-09-07 52.613423 85.682203 146.933578 283.259682 633.387464 1730.875651 7.603925e+03
2025-09-14 47.293171 77.827651 135.264394 265.865140 612.205971 1754.942096 8.539178e+03
2025-09-21 44.108877 73.687490 130.581618 264.058620 635.268298 1959.547049 1.124950e+04
2025-09-28 41.423603 70.199224 126.744107 263.486830 662.074334 2201.822315 1.516296e+04
2025-10-05 40.698166 70.374696 130.484959 282.342424 756.733076 2827.212163 2.653508e+04
2025-10-12 40.100321 70.719988 134.620772 303.285556 869.183863 3688.370380 5.094357e+04
2025-10-19 38.332796 68.520222 132.829569 307.860260 925.975672 4326.692822 8.341717e+04
2025-10-26 36.998309 67.076689 132.561678 316.735251 1004.552034 5241.540415 1.566060e+05
2025-11-02 35.301859 64.715695 129.862456 317.951540 1053.165748 6038.420016 2.787599e+05
2025-11-09 33.979536 63.032782 128.574465 323.252111 1123.489905 7182.171571 6.021358e+05
2025-11-16 32.341352 60.528479 125.003019 320.694087 1157.074043 8077.386708 1.215904e+06
2025-11-23 30.963511 58.485358 122.352659 320.652582 1204.198746 9269.897240 3.138455e+06